It won’t be an aggressive warm-up, but a warm-up is coming.
The heat you get in your hometown will depend on location, location, location. This is the time of year when the southern third of Michigan can really heat up, reaching 80 degrees. On the same day, the northern half of Lower Michigan can only have mid to upper 60s. Great Lakes water temperatures are still cold enough to keep coastal cities in the 50s.
But, in general, the pattern aloft appears to be changing to a late spring look and feel.
The jump to a few days in the 70s in the Lower South will take place next weekend or early next week.
The six to 10 day temperature forecast above shows that Michigan is more likely to be warmer than average starting this weekend. This coming weekend has long-term average high temperatures a few degrees either side of 70 degrees. If we’re talking about warmer than average temperatures, we should have mid-70s on the way.
But remember, there will always be temperature disappointments in Michigan at this time of year. A cluster of thunderstorms can develop and transform the winds by blowing from the northeast. Cancel the 70 degree temperatures any day when the wind blows in from Lake Huron.
While the number of upcoming storm systems in Michigan appears to be slowing down over the next two weeks, rainfall amounts could still be near or above average.
Warmer than average temperatures still have a slight chance to stay in southern Michigan from May 20-26.
Caption: Temperature forecast for May 20 to May 26, 2019 indicates normal to warmer than normal in Lower Michigan and colder than normal in UP
As the upper elevation pattern changes to an early summer pattern, the rain generally becomes more sporadic and does not last as long over the course of a day. The eight-to-14-day rain forecast also continues to recede on heavier than average rainfall.
I guess I would say the weather pattern slowly shifts towards the start of summer, rather than quickly transitioning into summer.
But the weather is improving for Michiganders ready for early summer weather.